Why is Reply SpA ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength as the company has not declared results in the last 6 months
2
With ROE of -0.09%, it has a Very Expensive valuation with a 2.46 Price to Book Value
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -19.38%, its profits have fallen by -223%
3
Underperformed the market in the last 1 year
- Even though the market (Italy FTSE MIB) has generated returns of 25.14% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -19.38% returns
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Miscellaneous)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Reply SpA for you?
High Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Reply SpA
-20.2%
2.06
37.68%
Italy FTSE MIB
27.29%
1.54
16.37%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
13.20%
EBIT Growth (5y)
12.70%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
25.41
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
Net Debt is too low
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-0.33
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
0.56
Tax Ratio
0
Dividend Payout Ratio
20.06%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
0.00%
ROCE (avg)
25.08%
ROE (avg)
1.98%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
NA (Loss Making)
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
2.46
EV to EBIT
54.97
EV to EBITDA
48.14
EV to Capital Employed
3.35
EV to Sales
4.91
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
10.60%
ROCE (Latest)
6.10%
ROE (Latest)
-0.09%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
Bullish
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Technical Movement
10What is working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Highest at EUR 672.19 MM
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at EUR 1,239.87 MM
DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)
Highest at 39.9%
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Highest at EUR 641.87 MM
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Lowest at -31.42 %
DIVIDEND PER SHARE(HY)
Highest at EUR 2.8
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Highest at EUR 204.32 MM
EPS(Q)
Highest at EUR 3.38
-1What is not working for the Company
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Grown by 8.4% (YoY
Here's what is working for Reply SpA
Net Sales
Highest at EUR 1,239.87 MM and Grown
In each period in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very positive
Net Sales (EUR MM)
Operating Cash Flow
Highest at EUR 672.19 MM
in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations
Operating Cash Flows (EUR MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
Highest at EUR 204.32 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is positive
Pre-Tax Profit (EUR MM)
EPS
Highest at EUR 3.38
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Increasing profitability; company has created higher earnings for shareholders
EPS (EUR)
Cash and Eqv
Highest at EUR 641.87 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is improving
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Debt-Equity Ratio
Lowest at -31.42 %
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company has been reducing its borrowing as compared to equity capital
Debt-Equity Ratio
Dividend per share
Highest at EUR 2.8
in the last five yearsMOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher dividend from profits generated
DPS (EUR)
Dividend Payout Ratio
Highest at 39.9%
in the last five yearsMOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend
DPR (%)
Here's what is not working for Reply SpA
Raw Material Cost
Grown by 8.4% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales
Non Operating Income
Highest at EUR 0.28 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Increased income from non business activities may not be sustainable
Non Operating income






