Senco Gold Ltd (SENCO) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Sky Gold & Diam.

Timex Group

P N Gadgil Jewe.

Goldiam Intl.

Ethos

Vaibhav Global

Rajesh Exports

Senco Gold

D.P. Abhushan

PC Jeweller

Bluestone Jewel

Why is Senco Gold Ltd ?

Healthy long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 21.39% and Operating profit at 22.48%

Flat results in Sep 25

PBT LESS OI(Q) At Rs 41.32 cr has Fallen at -27.1% (vs previous 4Q average)
INTEREST(Latest six months) At Rs 89.14 cr has Grown at 24.79%
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Lowest at 1.57 times

With ROCE of 10.7, it has a Attractive valuation with a 1.8 Enterprise value to Capital Employed

The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -43.56%, its profits have risen by 21.7% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 1.3

High Institutional Holdings at 20.4%

These investors have better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of companies than most retail investors.
Their stake has increased by 0.88% over the previous quarter.

Below par performance in long term as well as near term

Along with generating -43.56% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed BSE500 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Senco Gold should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Gems, Jewellery And Watches should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Gems, Jewellery And Watches)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Senco Gold for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Senco Gold

-43.56%

-0.92

47.16%

Sensex

7.21%

0.61

11.73%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

21.39%

EBIT Growth (5y)

22.48%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

2.84

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

4.68

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.90

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

1.66

Tax Ratio

24.52%

Dividend Payout Ratio

8.59%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

20.40%

ROCE (avg)

11.99%

ROE (avg)

13.11%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

2.47

EV to EBIT

16.61

EV to EBITDA

14.27

EV to Capital Employed

1.77

EV to Sales

1.05

PEG Ratio

1.34

Dividend Yield

0.31%

ROCE (Latest)

10.68%

ROE (Latest)

11.83%

Loading Valuation Snapshot...

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

RSI

Bullish

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

Mildly Bearish

OBV

Mildly Bullish

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

9What is working for the Company

PAT(Latest six months)

At Rs 153.43 cr has Grown at 142.04%

-12What is not working for the Company

PBT LESS OI(Q)

At Rs 41.32 cr has Fallen at -27.1% (vs previous 4Q average

INTEREST(Latest six months)

At Rs 89.14 cr has Grown at 24.79%

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 1.57 times

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 38.66 times

NET SALES(Q)

At Rs 1,536.12 cr has Fallen at -9.0% (vs previous 4Q average

PAT(Q)

At Rs 48.78 cr has Fallen at -8.3% (vs previous 4Q average

Loading Valuation Snapshot...

Here's what is not working for Senco Gold

Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly

At Rs 41.32 cr has Fallen at -27.1% (vs previous 4Q average)

over average PBT of the previous four quarters of Rs 56.68 Cr

MOJO Watch

Near term PBT trend is very negative

PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)

Interest - Latest six months

At Rs 89.14 cr has Grown at 24.79%

over previous Half yearly period

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (Rs cr)

Inventory Turnover Ratio- Half Yearly

Lowest at 1.57 times and Fallen

each half year in the last five half yearly periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Net Sales - Quarterly

At Rs 1,536.12 cr has Fallen at -9.0% (vs previous 4Q average)

over average Net Sales of the previous four quarters of Rs 1,687.62 Cr

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (Rs Cr)

Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly

At Rs 48.78 cr has Fallen at -8.3% (vs previous 4Q average)

over average PAT of the previous four quarters of Rs 53.17 Cr

MOJO Watch

Near term PAT trend is negative

PAT (Rs Cr)

Debtors Turnover Ratio- Half Yearly

Lowest at 38.66 times

in the last five half yearly periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of settling its Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio