Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd. (000488) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd.

Why is Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd. ?

With a Operating Losses, the company has a Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength

Poor long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of -27.09% and Operating profit at -225.53% over the last 5 years
High Debt Company with a Debt to Equity ratio (avg) at times

The company has declared negative results for the last 3 consecutive quarters

The company has declared negative results in Sep 24 after 2 consecutive negative quarters
NET PROFIT(HY) At CNY -4,433.39 MM has Grown at -472.42%
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at CNY 944.55 MM
NET SALES(Q) At CNY 1,241.23 MM has Fallen at -54.43%

Risky -

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 41.62%, its profits have fallen by -2480.3%

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Paper, Forest & Jute Products)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd. for you?

Medium Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd.

41.62%

-0.70

33.26%

China Shanghai Composite

13.33%

0.90

14.74%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

-27.09%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-225.53%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

-0.05

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

9.84

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

3.65

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.40

Tax Ratio

2.81%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

ROCE (avg)

3.42%

ROE (avg)

3.63%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.83

EV to EBIT

-4.01

EV to EBITDA

-5.61

EV to Capital Employed

0.97

EV to Sales

3.15

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

-24.32%

ROE (Latest)

-219.69%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bullish

Mildly Bullish

RSI

Bearish

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bullish

Bullish

Moving Averages

Bullish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Mildly Bullish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

OBV

No Trend

Mildly Bullish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

3What is working for the Company

NET PROFIT(HY)

Higher at CNY -4,433.39 MM

-32What is not working for the Company

NET PROFIT(HY)

At CNY -4,433.39 MM has Grown at -472.42%

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at CNY 944.55 MM

NET SALES(Q)

At CNY 1,241.23 MM has Fallen at -54.43%

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -132.72%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 994.8 %

INTEREST(Q)

At CNY 391.74 MM has Grown at 13.26%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 1,637.56% (YoY

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Lowest at CNY 1,764.52 MM

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 2.88 times

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 1.54 times

Here's what is working for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd.

Net Profit

Higher at CNY -4,433.39 MM

than preceding 12 month period ended Sep 2025

MOJO Watch

In the half year the company has already crossed Net Profit of the previous twelve months

Net Profit (CNY MM)

Here's what is not working for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd.

Net Profit

At CNY -4,433.39 MM has Grown at -472.42%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (CNY MM)

Net Sales

At CNY 1,241.23 MM has Fallen at -54.43%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of CNY 2,723.78 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is extremely negative

Net Sales (CNY MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Lowest at CNY 944.55 MM and Fallen

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (CNY MM)

Interest

At CNY 391.74 MM has Grown at 13.26%

period on period (QoQ)

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (CNY MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 994.8 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Cash and Eqv

Lowest at CNY 1,764.52 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is deteriorating

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 2.88 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 1.54 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 1,637.56% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales