Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co.

The Buckle, Inc.

Victoria's Secret & Co.

Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Urban Outfitters, Inc.

Winmark Corp.

Carter's, Inc.

Caleres, Inc.

Foot Locker, Inc.

Chico's FAS, Inc.

Why is Shoe Carnival, Inc. ?

High Management Efficiency with a high ROE of 18.93%

Company has a low Debt to Equity ratio (avg) at times

Healthy long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 29.32%

Flat results in Oct 25

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD 81.81 MM
NET PROFIT(9M) At USD 43.21 MM has Grown at -28.05%
ROCE(HY) Lowest at 8.78%

With ROE of 8.50%, it has a attractive valuation with a 1.04 Price to Book Value

The stock is trading at a fair value compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -19.44%, its profits have fallen by -23.2%

High Institutional Holdings at 87.91%

These investors have better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of companies than most retail investors.

Underperformed the market in the last 1 year

Even though the market (S&P 500) has generated returns of 13.68% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -19.44% returns

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Shoe Carnival, Inc. should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Footwear should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Footwear)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Shoe Carnival, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Shoe Carnival, Inc.

-19.76%

-0.92

54.43%

S&P 500

13.68%

0.71

19.28%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

3.51%

EBIT Growth (5y)

29.32%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

100.00

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Net Debt is too low

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

-0.05

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

1.76

Tax Ratio

24.60%

Dividend Payout Ratio

20.15%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

87.91%

ROCE (avg)

29.78%

ROE (avg)

18.93%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.04

EV to EBIT

9.32

EV to EBITDA

6.30

EV to Capital Employed

1.04

EV to Sales

0.57

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

174.09%

ROCE (Latest)

11.17%

ROE (Latest)

8.50%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Bearish

Dow Theory

No Trend

Mildly Bullish

OBV

Mildly Bearish

Mildly Bullish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

7What is working for the Company

DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)

Highest at 28.26%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Lowest at 37.34 %

DIVIDEND PER SHARE(HY)

Highest at USD 145.09

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -4.54% (YoY

-8What is not working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at USD 81.81 MM

NET PROFIT(9M)

At USD 43.21 MM has Grown at -28.05%

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at 8.78%

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 1.73 times

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 145.09 times

Here's what is working for Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Debt-Equity Ratio

Lowest at 37.34 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company has been reducing its borrowing as compared to equity capital

Debt-Equity Ratio

Dividend per share

Highest at USD 145.09 and Grown

In each year in the last five years

MOJO Watch

Company is distributing higher dividend from profits generated

DPS (USD)

Dividend Payout Ratio

Highest at 28.26% and Grown

In each year in the last five years

MOJO Watch

Company is distributing higher proportion of profits generated as dividend

DPR (%)

Raw Material Cost

Fallen by -4.54% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Depreciation

Highest at USD 8.59 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

The expenditure on assets done by the company may have gone into operation

Depreciation (USD MM)

Here's what is not working for Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Net Profit

At USD 43.21 MM has Grown at -28.05%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Lowest at USD 81.81 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 1.73 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 145.09 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio