Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Zumiez, Inc.

Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Stitch Fix, Inc.

Citi Trends, Inc.

Lands' End, Inc.

J.Jill, Inc.

Genesco, Inc.

Tilly's, Inc.

The Children's Place, Inc.

Destination XL Group, Inc.

Chico's FAS, Inc.

Why is Tilly's, Inc. ?

Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate -306.54% of over the last 5 years

The company has declared Negative results for the last 3 consecutive quarters

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD -20.97 MM
ROCE(HY) Lowest at -43.51%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 155.09 %

Risky - Negative EBITDA

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -59.46%, its profits have fallen by -21.1%

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -59.46% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Footwear)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Tilly's, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Tilly's, Inc.

-60.75%

-0.61

107.44%

S&P 500

13.22%

0.64

20.20%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

0.34%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-306.54%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

-8.38

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.18

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

3.45

Tax Ratio

0.19%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

100.00%

ROCE (avg)

24.95%

ROE (avg)

9.62%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.51

EV to EBIT

-0.46

EV to EBITDA

-0.51

EV to Capital Employed

0.59

EV to Sales

0.10

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

-129.03%

ROE (Latest)

-56.94%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

Mildly Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bullish

Bollinger Bands

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

OBV

No Trend

Mildly Bullish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

11What is working for the Company

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -6.1% (YoY

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 3.25 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 3.29 MM

EPS(Q)

Highest at USD 0.1

-10What is not working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at USD -20.97 MM

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -43.51%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 155.09 %

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Lowest at USD 87.88 MM

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 4.58 times

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 46.6 times

Here's what is working for Tilly's, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit

At USD 3.25 MM has Grown at 128.92%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -11.24 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

At USD 3.29 MM has Grown at 129.22%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -11.26 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

Pre-Tax Profit

Highest at USD 3.25 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is positive

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

Highest at USD 3.29 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

EPS

Highest at USD 0.1

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Increasing profitability; company has created higher earnings for shareholders

EPS (USD)

Raw Material Cost

Fallen by -6.1% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Here's what is not working for Tilly's, Inc.

Operating Cash Flow

Lowest at USD -20.97 MM and Fallen

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 155.09 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Cash and Eqv

Lowest at USD 87.88 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is deteriorating

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 4.58 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 46.6 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio