Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Zumiez, Inc.

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Genesco, Inc.

Stitch Fix, Inc.

Tilly's, Inc.

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J.Jill, Inc.

The Children's Place, Inc.

Destination XL Group, Inc.

Chico's FAS, Inc.

Why is Tilly's, Inc. ?

Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate -306.54% of over the last 5 years

The company has declared Negative results for the last 3 consecutive quarters

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD -20.97 MM
ROCE(HY) Lowest at -43.51%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 155.09 %

Risky - Negative EBITDA

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -45.04%, its profits have fallen by -21.1%

High Institutional Holdings at 100%

These investors have better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of companies than most retail investors.

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -45.04% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Tilly's, Inc. should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Footwear should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Footwear)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Tilly's, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Tilly's, Inc.

77.35%

-0.58

107.60%

S&P 500

13.68%

0.70

20.15%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

0.74%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-264.19%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

-8.38

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.18

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

3.59

Tax Ratio

0.19%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

98.36%

ROCE (avg)

24.95%

ROE (avg)

9.62%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.02

EV to EBIT

-0.83

EV to EBITDA

-0.92

EV to Capital Employed

1.01

EV to Sales

0.16

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

-122.94%

ROE (Latest)

-39.40%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bullish

Mildly Bullish

RSI

Bearish

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bullish

Moving Averages

Bullish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Mildly Bullish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

No Trend

OBV

Bullish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

14What is working for the Company

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

At USD -1.37 MM has Grown at 87.07%

NET PROFIT(Q)

At USD -1.4 MM has Grown at 86.85%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -18.37% (YoY

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Highest at 100.87 times

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 0.6 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Highest at 0.43 %

-2What is not working for the Company

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Lowest at USD 89.72 MM

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 4.56 times

Here's what is working for Tilly's, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit

At USD -1.37 MM has Grown at 87.07%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -10.62 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

At USD -1.4 MM has Grown at 86.85%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -10.63 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

Operating Profit

Highest at USD 0.6 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is positive

Operating Profit (USD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Highest at 0.43 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has improved

Operating Profit to Sales

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Highest at 100.87 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company has been able to sell its Debtors faster

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Fallen by -18.37% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Here's what is not working for Tilly's, Inc.

Cash and Eqv

Lowest at USD 89.72 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is deteriorating

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 4.56 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio