Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Citi Trends, Inc.

Lands' End, Inc.

Zumiez, Inc.

Stitch Fix, Inc.

Genesco, Inc.

Tilly's, Inc.

J.Jill, Inc.

Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Destination XL Group, Inc.

The Children's Place, Inc.

Chico's FAS, Inc.

Why is Tilly's, Inc. ?

Poor long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate -306.54% of over the last 5 years

The company has declared Negative results for the last 3 consecutive quarters

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD -20.97 MM
ROCE(HY) Lowest at -43.51%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 155.09 %

Risky - Negative EBITDA

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -45.04%, its profits have fallen by -21.1%

High Institutional Holdings at 100%

These investors have better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of companies than most retail investors.

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -45.04% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Footwear)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Tilly's, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Tilly's, Inc.

267.52%

-0.58

107.60%

S&P 500

20.78%

0.70

20.15%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

0.74%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-264.19%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

-8.38

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.18

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

3.59

Tax Ratio

0.19%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

100.00%

ROCE (avg)

24.95%

ROE (avg)

9.62%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.53

EV to EBIT

-1.21

EV to EBITDA

-1.36

EV to Capital Employed

1.49

EV to Sales

0.24

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

-122.94%

ROE (Latest)

-39.40%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bullish

Mildly Bullish

RSI

Bearish

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bullish

Moving Averages

Bullish (Daily)

KST

Bullish

Mildly Bullish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

OBV

Bullish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

15What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at USD 8.34 MM

NET PROFIT(HY)

Higher at USD -5.01 MM

ROCE(HY)

Highest at -4.15%

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Highest at 103.76 times

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -48.67% (YoY

-7What is not working for the Company

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

At USD -7.82 MM has Fallen at -90.1%

NET PROFIT(Q)

At USD -7.95 MM has Fallen at -95.06%

NET SALES(Q)

At USD 124.72 MM has Fallen at -9.88%

Here's what is working for Tilly's, Inc.

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Highest at 103.76 times and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company has been able to sell its Debtors faster

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at USD 8.34 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Raw Material Cost

Fallen by -48.67% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Here's what is not working for Tilly's, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit

At USD -7.82 MM has Fallen at -90.1%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -4.11 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

At USD -7.95 MM has Fallen at -95.06%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -4.08 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Net Sales

At USD 124.72 MM has Fallen at -9.88%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 138.4 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (USD MM)