Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Edison International

Ameren Corp.

Eversource Energy

Entergy Corp.

FirstEnergy Corp.

WEC Energy Group, Inc.

PPL Corp.

CMS Energy Corp.

Vistra Corp.

CenterPoint Energy, Inc.

DTE Energy Co.

Why is Vistra Corp. ?

Low ability to service debt as the company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.19 times

Low ability to service debt as the company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.19 times
The company has been able to generate a Return on Capital Employed (avg) of 15.00% signifying low profitability per unit of total capital (equity and debt)

Flat results in Jun 25

INTEREST(9M) At USD 919 MM has Grown at 30.35%
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q) Lowest at 450.18
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q) At USD 369 MM has Fallen at -47.59%

With ROCE of 35.07%, it has a fair valuation with a 3.90 Enterprise value to Capital Employed

The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 11.35%, its profits have risen by 134.9% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 0.1

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Power)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Vistra Corp. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Vistra Corp.

9.15%

1.43

66.33%

S&P 500

13.22%

0.64

20.20%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

13.77%

EBIT Growth (5y)

31.68%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

2.61

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

7.19

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

3.48

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.84

Tax Ratio

16.50%

Dividend Payout Ratio

12.48%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

94.64%

ROCE (avg)

15.00%

ROE (avg)

29.46%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

14.00

EV to EBIT

11.12

EV to EBITDA

8.09

EV to Capital Employed

3.90

EV to Sales

3.88

PEG Ratio

0.11

Dividend Yield

48.00%

ROCE (Latest)

35.07%

ROE (Latest)

83.18%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Mildly Bearish

Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Mildly Bullish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bullish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bearish

Dow Theory

No Trend

Mildly Bearish

OBV

No Trend

Mildly Bearish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

13What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at USD 4,226 MM

NET SALES(HY)

At USD 9,252 MM has Grown at 42.76%

NET PROFIT(9M)

Higher at USD 3,395.41 MM

-14What is not working for the Company

INTEREST(9M)

At USD 919 MM has Grown at 30.35%

INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q)

Lowest at 450.18

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

At USD 369 MM has Fallen at -47.59%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 18.28% (YoY

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 364.01 %

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at 30.56 %

NET PROFIT(Q)

Fallen at -29.25%

Here's what is working for Vistra Corp.

Net Sales

At USD 9,252 MM has Grown at 42.76%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is positive

Net Sales (USD MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at USD 4,226 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Here's what is not working for Vistra Corp.

Interest Coverage Ratio

Lowest at 450.18

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to manage interest payments is deteriorating

Operating Profit to Interest

Pre-Tax Profit

At USD 369 MM has Fallen at -47.59%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Interest

At USD 919 MM has Grown at 30.35%

over previous Semi-Annual period

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (USD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at 30.56 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Net Profit

Fallen at -29.25%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 364.01 %

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 18.28% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales