Why is West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. ?
1
With a fall in Operating Profit of -236%, the company declared Very Negative results in Mar 26
- The company has declared negative results for the last 4 consecutive quarters
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at CAD 4.46 MM
- ROCE(HY) Lowest at -18.14%
- INTEREST(Q) At CAD 9.6 MM has Grown at 14.77%
2
Risky -
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -3.70%, its profits have fallen by -318.6%
3
Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years
- Along with generating -3.70% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P/TSX 60 in each of the last 3 annual periods
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Paper, Forest & Jute Products)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. for you?
Medium Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
-3.7%
3.43
32.19%
S&P/TSX 60
29.6%
2.31
12.81%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
-0.65%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-182.73%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
56.94
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
0
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-0.03
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
0.84
Tax Ratio
94.91%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
55.83%
ROCE (avg)
21.26%
ROE (avg)
14.73%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
NA (Loss Making)
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
0.96
EV to EBIT
-9.21
EV to EBITDA
-64.98
EV to Capital Employed
0.96
EV to Sales
1.10
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
-10.45%
ROE (Latest)
-6.45%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bullish
No Trend
Technical Movement
0What is working for the Company
NO KEY POSITIVE TRIGGERS
-37What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at CAD 4.46 MM
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at -18.14%
INTEREST(Q)
At CAD 9.6 MM has Grown at 14.77%
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at CAD -355.27 MM
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Grown by 97.23% (YoY
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Lowest at CAD 389.93 MM
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Highest at 7.93 %
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Lowest at 5.3 times
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Lowest at 11.5 times
NET PROFIT(Q)
Lowest at CAD -270.23 MM
Here's what is not working for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
Pre-Tax Profit
At CAD -355.27 MM has Fallen at -210.17%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD -114.54 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative
Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)
Net Profit
At CAD -270.23 MM has Fallen at -618.67%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD -37.6 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is very negative
Net Profit (CAD MM)
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at CAD 4.46 MM and Fallen
In each year in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (CAD MM)
Interest
At CAD 9.6 MM has Grown at 14.77%
period on period (QoQ)MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (CAD MM)
Pre-Tax Profit
Lowest at CAD -355.27 MM and Fallen
In each period in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative
Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)
Net Profit
Lowest at CAD -270.23 MM
in the last five periodsMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is negative
Net Profit (CAD MM)
Cash and Eqv
Lowest at CAD 389.93 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is deteriorating
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 7.93 %
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Lowest at 5.3 times
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Lowest at 11.5 times
in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Raw Material Cost
Grown by 97.23% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales






