Why is West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. ?
1
The company has declared negative results for the last 5 consecutive quarters
- NET PROFIT(HY) At CAD -320.06 MM has Grown at -520.21%
- OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at CAD -150.57 MM
- ROCE(HY) Lowest at -19.3%
2
Risky -
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -1.19%, its profits have fallen by -318.6%
3
Underperformed the market in the last 1 year
- Even though the market (S&P/TSX 60) has generated returns of 28.13% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -1.19% returns
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Paper, Forest & Jute Products)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. for you?
High Risk, High Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
1.52%
3.31
33.64%
S&P/TSX 60
29.63%
2.33
12.07%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
-0.65%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-182.73%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
44.18
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
0
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-0.03
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
0.84
Tax Ratio
21.55%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
55.83%
ROCE (avg)
16.65%
ROE (avg)
14.73%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
NA (Loss Making)
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
0.96
EV to EBIT
-9.17
EV to EBITDA
-64.70
EV to Capital Employed
0.96
EV to Sales
1.10
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
-10.45%
ROE (Latest)
-6.45%
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bullish
No Trend
Technical Movement
3What is working for the Company
DIVIDEND PER SHARE(HY)
Highest at CAD 13.32
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)
At CAD -88.6 MM has Grown at 62.8%
NET PROFIT(Q)
At CAD -49.84 MM has Grown at 60.75%
-29What is not working for the Company
NET PROFIT(HY)
At CAD -320.06 MM has Grown at -520.21%
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)
Lowest at CAD -150.57 MM
ROCE(HY)
Lowest at -19.3%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO
(HY)
Highest at 5.5 %
INTEREST(Q)
At CAD 11.08 MM has Grown at 15.34%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)
Grown by 22.62% (YoY
CASH AND EQV(HY)
Lowest at CAD 218.03 MM
Here's what is working for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
Pre-Tax Profit
At CAD -88.6 MM has Grown at 62.8%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD -238.16 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is positive
Pre-Tax Profit (CAD MM)
Net Profit
At CAD -49.84 MM has Grown at 60.75%
over average net sales of the previous four periods of CAD -126.97 MMMOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is positive
Net Profit (CAD MM)
Dividend per share
Highest at CAD 13.32
in the last five yearsMOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher dividend from profits generated
DPS (CAD)
Here's what is not working for West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at CAD -150.57 MM and Fallen
In each year in the last three yearsMOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling
Operating Cash Flows (CAD MM)
Interest
At CAD 11.08 MM has Grown at 15.34%
period on period (QoQ)MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (CAD MM)
Debt-Equity Ratio
Highest at 5.5 % and Grown
In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio
Cash and Eqv
Lowest at CAD 218.03 MM
in the last six Semi-Annual periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is deteriorating
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Raw Material Cost
Grown by 22.62% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin
Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales






