XCel Brands, Inc. (XELB) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Jerash Holdings (US), Inc.

Lakeland Industries, Inc.

Rocky Brands, Inc.

Vince Holding Corp.

Weyco Group, Inc.

Superior Group of Cos., Inc.

Allbirds, Inc.

Vera Bradley, Inc.

XCel Brands, Inc.

Delta Apparel, Inc.

Lanvin Group Holdings Ltd.

Why is XCel Brands, Inc. ?

With a Operating Losses, the company has a Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength

Company's ability to service its debt is weak with a poor EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of -11.33
The company has reported losses. Due to this company has reported negative ROE

With a fall in PBT of -14.82%, the company declared Very Negative results in Jun 25

The company has declared negative results for the last 7 consecutive quarters
NET PROFIT(HY) At USD -5.17 MM has Grown at -97.82%
INTEREST(HY) At USD 1.05 MM has Grown at 253.72%
NET SALES(Q) At USD 1.32 MM has Fallen at -28.66%

Risky - Negative EBITDA

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -85.75%, its profits have risen by 34.2%

Below par performance in long term as well as near term

Along with generating -85.75% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in the last 3 years, 1 year and 3 months

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Footwear)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is XCel Brands, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

XCel Brands, Inc.

-86.43%

-0.07

1153.14%

S&P 500

13.22%

0.61

20.17%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

-30.99%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-205.70%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

-11.33

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Negative Net Debt

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.36

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.26

Tax Ratio

0.28%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

23.04%

ROCE (avg)

ROE (avg)

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.16

EV to EBIT

-1.74

EV to EBITDA

-3.54

EV to Capital Employed

0.39

EV to Sales

1.97

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

-22.18%

ROE (Latest)

-48.90%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bullish

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

OBV

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

5What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at USD -5.62 MM

NET PROFIT(HY)

Higher at USD -5.17 MM

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -416.79% (YoY

-31What is not working for the Company

NET PROFIT(HY)

At USD -5.17 MM has Grown at -97.82%

INTEREST(HY)

At USD 1.05 MM has Grown at 253.72%

NET SALES(Q)

At USD 1.32 MM has Fallen at -28.66%

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -65.44%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 71.13 %

CASH AND EQV(HY)

Lowest at USD 1.27 MM

Here's what is working for XCel Brands, Inc.

Net Profit

Higher at USD -5.17 MM

than preceding 12 month period ended Jun 2025

MOJO Watch

In the half year the company has already crossed Net Profit of the previous twelve months

Net Profit (USD MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at USD -5.62 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Raw Material Cost

Fallen by -416.79% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Here's what is not working for XCel Brands, Inc.

Net Profit

At USD -5.17 MM has Grown at -97.82%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Interest

At USD 1.05 MM has Grown at 253.72%

over previous Semi-Annual period

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (USD MM)

Net Sales

At USD 1.32 MM has Fallen at -28.66%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 1.85 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is extremely negative

Net Sales (USD MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 71.13 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Cash and Eqv

Lowest at USD 1.27 MM

in the last six Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Short Term liquidity is deteriorating

Cash and Cash Equivalents