Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. (600419) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd.

Why is Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. ?

Poor long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 10.37% and Operating profit at -7.31% over the last 5 years

The company declared very negative results in Mar'25 after flat results in Dec'24

ROCE(HY) Lowest at -1.44%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 51.45 %
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q) Lowest at 54.89

Risky -

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -4.74%, its profits have risen by 151.5% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 1.3
At the current price, the company has a high dividend yield of 0.2

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -4.74% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed China Shanghai Composite in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in FMCG)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. for you?

High Risk, Medium Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd.

-4.74%

0.26

38.05%

China Shanghai Composite

14.77%

1.01

14.58%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

10.37%

EBIT Growth (5y)

-7.31%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

12.03

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

1.35

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.47

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

0.71

Tax Ratio

13.63%

Dividend Payout Ratio

15.17%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

ROCE (avg)

7.18%

ROE (avg)

6.24%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

190

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.35

EV to EBIT

37.10

EV to EBITDA

9.82

EV to Capital Employed

1.25

EV to Sales

1.52

PEG Ratio

1.25

Dividend Yield

0.21%

ROCE (Latest)

3.38%

ROE (Latest)

0.71%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

Mildly Bullish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bearish

Mildly Bullish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Bullish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

No Trend

OBV

Mildly Bearish

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

3What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at CNY 707.34 MM

NET PROFIT(9M)

Higher at CNY -1.74 MM

-27What is not working for the Company

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -1.44%

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 51.45 %

INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q)

Lowest at 54.89

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 8.42% (YoY

NET SALES(Q)

Lowest at CNY 620.41 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CNY 4.56 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at 0.74 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CNY -85.9 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at CNY -73.3 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at CNY -0.23

Here's what is working for Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd.

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at CNY 707.34 MM

in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (CNY MM)

Here's what is not working for Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd.

Pre-Tax Profit

At CNY -85.9 MM has Fallen at -2,554.57%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (CNY MM)

Net Profit

At CNY -73.3 MM has Fallen at -1,713.36%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (CNY MM)

Interest Coverage Ratio

Lowest at 54.89

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to manage interest payments is deteriorating

Operating Profit to Interest

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 51.45 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Net Sales

Lowest at CNY 620.41 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (CNY MM)

Operating Profit

Lowest at CNY 4.56 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (CNY MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at 0.74 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at CNY -85.9 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (CNY MM)

Net Profit

Lowest at CNY -73.3 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (CNY MM)

EPS

Lowest at CNY -0.23

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (CNY)

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 8.42% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales