AGI Greenpac Ltd Stock Hits 52-Week Low Amidst Continued Downtrend

Stock Performance and Market Context

On 19 Feb 2026, AGI Greenpac Ltd (Stock ID: 591083) closed at Rs.583.95, down 1.69% on the day and underperforming the packaging sector by 0.31%. This marks the lowest price level for the stock in the past 52 weeks, a notable contrast to its 52-week high of Rs.1008.30. The stock’s recent performance has been subdued, with a sustained downward trend over the last seven trading sessions.

AGI Greenpac’s share price currently trades below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling persistent bearish momentum. This technical positioning reflects the stock’s ongoing weakness relative to both short-term and long-term price trends.

Meanwhile, the broader market has experienced volatility. The Sensex, after opening 235.57 points higher, reversed sharply to close down 956.65 points at 83,013.17, a decline of 0.86%. Despite this, the Sensex remains within 3.79% of its 52-week high of 86,159.02. The index trades below its 50-day moving average, though the 50DMA remains above the 200DMA, indicating mixed signals for the broader market.

Financial Metrics and Recent Results

AGI Greenpac’s recent financial results have contributed to the subdued market sentiment. The company reported flat results for the quarter ending December 2025, with profit before tax (PBT) falling by 8.70% to Rs.95.94 crores. Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter also declined to Rs.11.04, the lowest in recent periods. Additionally, cash and cash equivalents at half-year stood at Rs.15.41 crores, reflecting a conservative liquidity position.

These figures have weighed on investor confidence, contributing to the stock’s downgrade from a Hold to a Sell rating on 23 Oct 2025. The company’s Mojo Score currently stands at 44.0, with a Mojo Grade of Sell, indicating a cautious outlook based on quantitative assessments.

Relative Performance and Sector Positioning

Over the past year, AGI Greenpac has underperformed significantly compared to the broader market and its sector. The stock has delivered a negative return of -17.12%, while the Sensex has gained 9.30% and the BSE500 index has generated 12.72% returns over the same period. This divergence highlights the stock’s relative weakness amid a generally positive market environment.

Within the packaging sector, AGI Greenpac holds a prominent position with a market capitalisation of Rs.3,837 crores, making it the second-largest company in the sector after Garware Hi-Tech. The company accounts for 14.52% of the sector’s market cap and contributes 8.85% to the industry’s annual sales, which total Rs.2,627.76 crores.

Balance Sheet and Valuation Metrics

AGI Greenpac maintains a conservative capital structure with an average debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 times, indicating limited leverage. The company’s operating profit has grown at a healthy annual rate of 30.82%, reflecting underlying business strength despite recent price pressures.

Return on capital employed (ROCE) stands at 16.7%, signalling efficient use of capital. The enterprise value to capital employed ratio is 1.6, suggesting an attractive valuation relative to the company’s asset base. Furthermore, the stock trades at a discount compared to its peers’ average historical valuations, with a price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio of 0.8, indicating that earnings growth has outpaced the stock price decline over the past year.

Shareholding and Industry Standing

The majority shareholding in AGI Greenpac is held by promoters, providing a stable ownership structure. The company’s position as a leading player in the packaging sector underscores its importance within the industry, despite recent share price setbacks.

While the stock’s recent decline to Rs.583.95 represents a significant technical low, the company’s financial metrics and sector standing provide context to its current valuation and market perception.

Summary of Key Data Points

To summarise, AGI Greenpac Ltd’s stock has reached a 52-week low of Rs.583.95 after a seven-day losing streak, underperforming both the packaging sector and broader market indices. The downgrade to a Sell rating and a Mojo Score of 44.0 reflect cautious sentiment. Financial results show a decline in quarterly PBT and EPS, while cash reserves remain modest. The company’s balance sheet remains conservative with low leverage, and valuation metrics indicate a discount relative to peers. Despite the recent price weakness, AGI Greenpac remains a significant player in the packaging industry with a strong operating profit growth rate and efficient capital utilisation.

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