Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

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Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

Why is Ambac Financial Group, Inc. ?

Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with an average Return on Equity (ROE) of 6.71%

Poor long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of -0.95% and Operating profit at 0%

The company has declared negative results for the last 3 consecutive quarters

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y) Lowest at USD -41.7 MM
PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q) At USD -22.97 MM has Fallen at -50.14%
NET PROFIT(Q) At USD -21.79 MM has Fallen at -252.46%

Risky -

The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -30.50%, its profits have fallen by -139.9%

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -30.50% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Insurance)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Ambac Financial Group, Inc. for you?

High Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

-32.84%

-0.53

60.12%

S&P 500

13.22%

0.64

20.20%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

-0.95%

EBIT Growth (5y)

EBIT to Interest (avg)

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Negative Net Debt

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

Tax Ratio

6.90%

Dividend Payout Ratio

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

90.05%

ROCE (avg)

ROE (avg)

6.71%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

NA (Loss Making)

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

0.42

EV to EBIT

EV to EBITDA

5.37

EV to Capital Employed

0.31

EV to Sales

0.64

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

ROCE (Latest)

ROE (Latest)

-2.90%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bullish

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bullish

Mildly Bearish

Moving Averages

Bullish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Dow Theory

No Trend

Mildly Bullish

OBV

No Trend

Mildly Bullish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

2What is working for the Company

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by 0% (YoY

NET PROFIT(9M)

Higher at USD -15.52 MM

-33What is not working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at USD -41.7 MM

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

At USD -22.97 MM has Fallen at -50.14%

NET PROFIT(Q)

At USD -21.79 MM has Fallen at -252.46%

ROCE(HY)

Lowest at -4.09%

NET SALES(Q)

Lowest at USD 54.96 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD -17.4 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at -31.67 %

Here's what is working for Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

Raw Material Cost

Fallen by 0% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Here's what is not working for Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

Net Sales

At USD 54.96 MM has Fallen at -36.64%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 86.74 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is extremely negative

Net Sales (USD MM)

Pre-Tax Profit

At USD -22.97 MM has Fallen at -50.14%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -15.3 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

At USD -21.79 MM has Fallen at -252.46%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD -6.18 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Lowest at USD -41.7 MM and Fallen

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Net Sales

Lowest at USD 54.96 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is negative

Net Sales (USD MM)

Operating Profit

Lowest at USD -17.4 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (USD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at -31.67 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales