Why is Confidence Petroleum India Ltd ?
1
Strong ability to service debt as the company has a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.31 times
2
Healthy long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 41.08% and Operating profit at 33.83%
3
The company has declared Positive results for the last 4 consecutive quarters
- NET SALES(Q) Highest at Rs 1,393.88 cr
4
With ROCE of 7.8, it has a Very Attractive valuation with a 0.9 Enterprise value to Capital Employed
- The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -25.89%, its profits have risen by 15% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 1.2
5
Despite the size of the company, domestic mutual funds hold only 0% of the company
- Domestic mutual funds have capability to do in-depth on-the-ground research on companies- their small stake may signify either they are not comfortable at the price or the business
6
Underperformed the market in the last 1 year
- Even though the market (BSE500) has generated returns of 0.76% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -25.89% returns
How much should you hold?
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Confidence Petro should be less than 10%
- Overall Portfolio exposure to Gas should be less than 30%
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Gas)
When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock
Is Confidence Petro for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Confidence Petro
-25.89%
-0.56
46.23%
Sensex
-2.38%
-0.19
12.70%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
41.08%
EBIT Growth (5y)
33.83%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
5.86
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
1.46
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.51
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
1.69
Tax Ratio
22.83%
Dividend Payout Ratio
3.13%
Pledged Shares
3.60%
Institutional Holding
0.70%
ROCE (avg)
12.43%
ROE (avg)
10.43%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
15
Industry P/E
23
Price to Book Value
0.89
EV to EBIT
11.22
EV to EBITDA
5.68
EV to Capital Employed
0.93
EV to Sales
0.44
PEG Ratio
1.21
Dividend Yield
0.27%
ROCE (Latest)
7.85%
ROE (Latest)
6.82%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bullish
Mildly Bearish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bearish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Bullish
No Trend
Technical Movement
14What is working for the Company
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at Rs 1,393.88 cr
-4What is not working for the Company
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO(HY)
Highest at 0.60 times
PBT LESS OI(Q)
At Rs 18.58 cr has Fallen at -8.2% (vs previous 4Q average
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Here's what is working for Confidence Petro
Net Sales - Quarterly
At Rs 1,393.88 cr has Grown at 50.0% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average Net Sales of the previous four quarters of Rs 929.27 CrMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Net Sales - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 1,393.88 cr
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Here's what is not working for Confidence Petro
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
At Rs 18.58 cr has Fallen at -8.2% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average PBT of the previous four quarters of Rs 20.25 CrMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is negative
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Debt-Equity Ratio - Half Yearly
Highest at 0.60 times
in the last five half yearly periodsMOJO Watch
The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed
Debt-Equity Ratio






