Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Federated Hermes, Inc.

Hercules Capital, Inc.

Janus Henderson Group Plc

Hamilton Lane, Inc.

Artisan Partners Asset Management, Inc.

Main Street Capital Corp.

FTAI Aviation Ltd.

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.

Cohen & Steers, Inc. (New York)

AllianceBernstein Holding LP

Why is Golub Capital BDC, Inc. ?

Strong Long Term Fundamental Strength with a 80.30% CAGR growth in Operating Profits

Healthy long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate of 80.30%

Flat results in Jun 25

INTEREST(HY) At USD 140.61 MM has Grown at 34.89%
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Grown by 9.45% (YoY)
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY) Highest at 123.85 %

With ROE of 7.29%, it has a very attractive valuation with a 1.00 Price to Book Value

The stock is trading at a premium compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -9.43%, its profits have fallen by -14.3%

High Institutional Holdings at 45.15%

These investors have better capability and resources to analyse fundamentals of companies than most retail investors.
Their stake has increased by 2.6% over the previous quarter.

Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years

Along with generating -9.43% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed S&P 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Golub Capital BDC, Inc. should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Capital Markets should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Capital Markets)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Golub Capital BDC, Inc. for you?

Low Risk, Low Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

-8.85%

-0.65

20.25%

S&P 500

13.22%

0.61

20.17%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

25.33%

EBIT Growth (5y)

80.30%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

3.80

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

Negative Net Debt

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

Tax Ratio

Tax Ratio is Negative%

Dividend Payout Ratio

116.88%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

45.15%

ROCE (avg)

16.90%

ROE (avg)

10.52%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

1.00

EV to EBIT

6.68

EV to EBITDA

6.68

EV to Capital Employed

1.00

EV to Sales

5.15

PEG Ratio

Dividend Yield

5.94%

ROCE (Latest)

14.92%

ROE (Latest)

7.29%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Mildly Bearish

Bearish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

No Trend

OBV

Mildly Bearish

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

22What is working for the Company

OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Highest at USD 402.9 MM

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

At USD 89.85 MM has Grown at 891.47%

NET PROFIT(Q)

At USD 90.06 MM has Grown at 873.39%

NET SALES(Q)

Highest at USD 218.72 MM

-7What is not working for the Company

INTEREST(HY)

At USD 140.61 MM has Grown at 34.89%

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Grown by 9.45% (YoY

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Highest at 123.85 %

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 9.78 times

Here's what is working for Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

Pre-Tax Profit

At USD 89.85 MM has Grown at 891.47%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is very positive

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

At USD 90.06 MM has Grown at 873.39%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is very positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

Operating Cash Flow

Highest at USD 402.9 MM and Grown

In each year in the last three years

MOJO Watch

The company has generated higher cash revenues from business operations

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Net Sales

Highest at USD 218.72 MM and Grown

In each period in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is very positive

Net Sales (USD MM)

Net Sales

At USD 218.72 MM has Grown at 56.5%

Year on Year (YoY)

MOJO Watch

Near term sales trend is very positive

Net Sales (USD MM)

Here's what is not working for Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

Interest

At USD 140.61 MM has Grown at 34.89%

over previous Semi-Annual period

MOJO Watch

Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings

Interest Paid (USD MM)

Debt-Equity Ratio

Highest at 123.85 %

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company is borrowing more to fund its operations; it's liquidity situation may be stressed

Debt-Equity Ratio

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 9.78 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Raw Material Cost

Grown by 9.45% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has deteriorated; this may lead to a fall in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales