Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

  • Market Cap: Micro Cap
  • Industry: Retailing
  • ISIN: US63888U1088
USD
32.69
0.52 (1.62%)
  • Price Points
  • Score
  • Mojo Parameters
  • Total Return
  • News and Corporate Actions
  • Key factors
  • Shareholding
  • Financials
  • CompanyCV
stock-recommendationScore
Click here to find our call on this stock
Strong Sell
Sell
Hold
Buy
Strong Buy

Comparison

Company
Score
Quality
Valuation
Financial
Technical
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
Ingles Markets, Inc.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
Weis Markets, Inc.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.
Village Super Market, Inc.
The Kroger Co.
ARKO Corp.
Albertsons Cos., Inc.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Why is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. ?

1
High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 19.52%
2
Strong ability to service debt as the company has a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.54 times
3
The company has declared Positive results for the last 6 consecutive quarters
  • ROCE(HY) Highest at 23.58%
  • INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Highest at 7.89 times
  • RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Fallen by -3.07% (YoY)
4
With ROCE of 27.96%, it has a expensive valuation with a 4.99 Enterprise value to Capital Employed
  • The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
  • Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -40.28%, its profits have risen by 46% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 0.5
5
Underperformed the market in the last 1 year
  • Even though the market (S&P 500) has generated returns of 14.11% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -40.28% returns
stock-recommendationReal-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

  1. Overall Portfolio exposure to Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. should be less than 10%
  2. Overall Portfolio exposure to Retailing should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Retailing)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
-23.08%
0.45
56.27%
S&P 500
20.78%
0.70
20.15%
stock-recommendationQuality
stock-summaryManagement Risk
stock-summaryGrowth
stock-summaryCapital Structure
stock-recommendation
Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
4.51%
EBIT Growth (5y)
15.53%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
13.04
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
0.54
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.10
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
5.42
Tax Ratio
20.71%
Dividend Payout Ratio
24.03%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
53.33%
ROCE (avg)
19.52%
ROE (avg)
16.60%
stock-recommendationValuation

Valuation Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors stock-summary

Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
12
Industry P/E
Price to Book Value
2.72
EV to EBIT
9.64
EV to EBITDA
6.31
EV to Capital Employed
2.59
EV to Sales
0.46
PEG Ratio
0.51
Dividend Yield
2.07%
ROCE (Latest)
26.90%
ROE (Latest)
21.77%
stock-recommendationTechnicals

Technical key factors

Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Sideways
Mildly Bearish
Moving Averages
Mildly Bearish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bullish
No Trend
stock-recommendation Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish  Turned 
Technical Movement
stock-recommendationFinancial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard stock-summary

stock-recommendation
Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

12What is working for the Company
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Lowest at 131.57 %

INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO(Q)

Highest at 4,244.15

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by 0% (YoY

DIVIDEND PER SHARE(HY)

Highest at USD 104.74

NET SALES(Q)

Highest at USD 337.38 MM

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 26.82 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Highest at 7.95 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 17.47 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Highest at USD 13.43 MM

EPS(Q)

Highest at USD 0.58

-3What is not working for the Company
OPERATING CASH FLOW(Y)

Lowest at USD 62.39 MM

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 104.74 times

Here's what is working for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Interest Coverage Ratio
Highest at 4,244.15
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to manage interest payments is improving

Operating Profit to Interest

Debt-Equity Ratio
Lowest at 131.57 % and Grown
In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods
MOJO Watch
The company has been reducing its borrowing as compared to equity capital

Debt-Equity Ratio

Net Sales
Highest at USD 337.38 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is positive

Net Sales (USD MM)

Operating Profit
Highest at USD 26.82 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is positive

Operating Profit (USD MM)

Operating Profit Margin
Highest at 7.95 %
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Company's profit margin has improved

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit
Highest at USD 17.47 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is positive

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit
Highest at USD 13.43 MM
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Near term Net Profit trend is positive

Net Profit (USD MM)

EPS
Highest at USD 0.58
in the last five periods
MOJO Watch
Increasing profitability; company has created higher earnings for shareholders

EPS (USD)

Dividend per share
Highest at USD 104.74
in the last five years
MOJO Watch
Company is distributing higher dividend from profits generated

DPS (USD)

Raw Material Cost
Fallen by 0% (YoY)
MOJO Watch
The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Here's what is not working for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Operating Cash Flow
Lowest at USD 62.39 MM
in the last three years
MOJO Watch
The company's cash revenues from business operations are falling

Operating Cash Flows (USD MM)

Debtors Turnover Ratio
Lowest at 104.74 times
in the last five Semi-Annual periods
MOJO Watch
Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio