Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

National Vision Holdings, Inc.

Ingles Markets, Inc.

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

The Kroger Co.

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

Weis Markets, Inc.

ARKO Corp.

Village Super Market, Inc.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Albertsons Cos., Inc.

Why is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. ?

High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 19.52%

Strong ability to service debt as the company has a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.54 times

The company has declared Positive results for the last 6 consecutive quarters

ROCE(HY) Highest at 23.58%
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Highest at 7.89 times
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Fallen by -3.07% (YoY)

With ROCE of 27.96%, it has a expensive valuation with a 4.99 Enterprise value to Capital Employed

The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -40.28%, its profits have risen by 46% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 0.5

Underperformed the market in the last 1 year

Even though the market (S&P 500) has generated returns of 14.11% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -40.28% returns

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you sell?

All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Retailing)

When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data

Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

-18.14%

0.45

56.27%

S&P 500

16.06%

0.70

20.15%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

4.51%

EBIT Growth (5y)

15.53%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

13.04

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

0.54

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.10

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

5.42

Tax Ratio

20.71%

Dividend Payout Ratio

24.03%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

53.33%

ROCE (avg)

19.52%

ROE (avg)

16.60%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

2.72

EV to EBIT

9.64

EV to EBITDA

6.31

EV to Capital Employed

2.59

EV to Sales

0.46

PEG Ratio

0.51

Dividend Yield

2.07%

ROCE (Latest)

26.90%

ROE (Latest)

21.77%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Mildly Bullish

Mildly Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Sideways

Mildly Bearish

Moving Averages

Mildly Bearish (Daily)

KST

Mildly Bullish

Mildly Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bullish

Mildly Bearish

OBV

Mildly Bullish

No Trend

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

3What is working for the Company

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Lowest at 127.48 %

DIVIDEND PER SHARE(HY)

Highest at USD 114.73

-8What is not working for the Company

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 7.52 times

DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Lowest at 114.73 times

OPERATING PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD 22.38 MM

OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN(Q)

Lowest at 6.68 %

PRE-TAX PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD 12.34 MM

NET PROFIT(Q)

Lowest at USD 9.53 MM

EPS(Q)

Lowest at USD 0.48

Here's what is working for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Debt-Equity Ratio

Lowest at 127.48 % and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company has been reducing its borrowing as compared to equity capital

Debt-Equity Ratio

Dividend per share

Highest at USD 114.73

in the last five years

MOJO Watch

Company is distributing higher dividend from profits generated

DPS (USD)

Here's what is not working for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Operating Profit

Lowest at USD 22.38 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Operating Profit trend is negative

Operating Profit (USD MM)

Operating Profit Margin

Lowest at 6.68 %

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Company's profit margin has deteriorated

Operating Profit to Sales

Pre-Tax Profit

Lowest at USD 12.34 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Pre-Tax Profit trend is negative

Pre-Tax Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

Lowest at USD 9.53 MM

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

Net Profit

At USD 9.53 MM has Fallen at -20.9%

over average net sales of the previous four periods of USD 12.05 MM

MOJO Watch

Near term Net Profit trend is negative

Net Profit (USD MM)

EPS

Lowest at USD 0.48

in the last five periods

MOJO Watch

Declining profitability; company has created lower earnings for shareholders

EPS (USD)

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 7.52 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling inventory has slowed

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Debtors Turnover Ratio

Lowest at 114.73 times

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company's pace of selling Debtors has slowed

Debtors Turnover Ratio

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