Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) Stock Recommendation | Score, Valuation, Technicals & Financial Trend

Score

Click here to find our call on this stock

Strong Sell

Sell

Hold

Buy

Strong Buy

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Comparison

Company

Score

Quality

Valuation

Financial

Technical

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Ingles Markets, Inc.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

National Vision Holdings, Inc.

ARKO Corp.

Village Super Market, Inc.

Albertsons Cos., Inc.

Weis Markets, Inc.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

The Kroger Co.

Why is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. ?

High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 19.52%

Strong ability to service debt as the company has a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.54 times

The company has declared Positive results for the last 6 consecutive quarters

ROCE(HY) Highest at 23.58%
INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY) Highest at 7.89 times
RAW MATERIAL COST(Y) Fallen by -3.07% (YoY)

With ROCE of 27.96%, it has a expensive valuation with a 4.99 Enterprise value to Capital Employed

The stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers' average historical valuations
Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -40.28%, its profits have risen by 46% ; the PEG ratio of the company is 0.5

Underperformed the market in the last 1 year

Even though the market (S&P 500) has generated returns of 14.11% in the last 1 year, the stock has hugely underperformed and has generate negative returns of -40.28% returns

Real-Time Research Report

Verdict Report

How much should you hold?

Overall Portfolio exposure to Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. should be less than 10%
Overall Portfolio exposure to Retailing should be less than 30%

(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Retailing)

When to exit? - We will constantly monitor the company and suggest at the appropriate time to exit from the stock

Is Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. for you?

High Risk, High Return

Absolute

Risk Adjusted

Volatility

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

-35.7%

0.45

56.27%

S&P 500

16.49%

0.70

20.15%

Quality

Management Risk

Growth

Capital Structure

Quality grade scale :

Below Average, Average, Good, Excellent

Quality key factors

Factor

Value

Sales Growth (5y)

5.67%

EBIT Growth (5y)

17.83%

EBIT to Interest (avg)

13.04

Debt to EBITDA (avg)

0.54

Net Debt to Equity (avg)

0.10

Sales to Capital Employed (avg)

5.42

Tax Ratio

20.71%

Dividend Payout Ratio

27.21%

Pledged Shares

Institutional Holding

40.13%

ROCE (avg)

19.52%

ROE (avg)

16.60%

Valuation

Valuation Scorecard

Valuation grade scale :

Very Risky, Risky, Very Expensive, Expensive, Fair, Attractive, Very Attractive

Valuation Key Factors

Factor

Value

P/E Ratio

Industry P/E

Price to Book Value

5.38

EV to EBIT

17.84

EV to EBITDA

11.42

EV to Capital Employed

4.99

EV to Sales

0.82

PEG Ratio

0.54

Dividend Yield

1.01%

ROCE (Latest)

27.96%

ROE (Latest)

22.32%

Technicals

Technical key factors

Indicator

Weekly

Monthly

MACD

Bearish

Mildly Bearish

RSI

No Signal

Bollinger Bands

Bearish

Moving Averages

Bearish (Daily)

KST

Bearish

Mildly Bearish

Dow Theory

Mildly Bearish

OBV

Mildly Bearish

Technical Indicator Scale: Bearish, Mildly Bearish, Sideways, Mildly Bullish, Bullish Turned

Technical Movement

Analyse All Technical Factors

Financial Trend

Financial Trend Scorecard

Financial Trend scale:

Very Negative, Negative, Flat, Positive, Very Positive, Outstanding

7What is working for the Company

ROCE(HY)

Highest at 23.58%

INVENTORY TURNOVER RATIO(HY)

Highest at 7.89 times

RAW MATERIAL COST(Y)

Fallen by -3.07% (YoY

DEBT-EQUITY RATIO (HY)

Lowest at 158.69 %

DIVIDEND PER SHARE(HY)

Highest at USD 121.24

-1What is not working for the Company

DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO(Y)

Lowest at 24.11%

Here's what is working for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Highest at 7.89 times and Grown

In each half year in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

Company has been able to sell its inventory faster

Inventory Turnover Ratio

Debt-Equity Ratio

Lowest at 158.69 %

in the last five Semi-Annual periods

MOJO Watch

The company has been reducing its borrowing as compared to equity capital

Debt-Equity Ratio

Dividend per share

Highest at USD 121.24

in the last five years

MOJO Watch

Company is distributing higher dividend from profits generated

DPS (USD)

Raw Material Cost

Fallen by -3.07% (YoY)

MOJO Watch

The company's ability to pass on the cost of raw materials to customers has improved; this may lead to a rise in profit margin

Raw Material Cost as a percentage of Sales

Here's what is not working for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Dividend Payout Ratio

Lowest at 24.11%

in the last five years

MOJO Watch

Company is distributing lower proportion of profits generated as dividend

DPR (%)