Why is TVS Supply Chain Solutions Ltd ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with an average Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of 4.13%
- Poor long term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of 6.63% over the last 5 years
- Company's ability to service its debt is weak with a poor EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 0.89
2
31.87% of Promoter Shares are Pledged
- In falling markets, high promoter pledged shares puts additional downward pressure on the stock prices
- The proportion of pledged holdings has increased by 2.64% over the last quarter
3
Underperformed the market in the last 1 year
- Even though the market (BSE500) generated negative returns of -3.31% in the last 1 year, its fall in the stock was much higher with a return of -32.09%
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Transport Services)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is TVS Supply for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
TVS Supply
-32.09%
-0.85
37.61%
Sensex
-5.47%
-0.43
12.65%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
6.63%
EBIT Growth (5y)
25.38%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
0.89
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
3.16
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0.72
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.46
Tax Ratio
39.17%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
31.87%
Institutional Holding
4.93%
ROCE (avg)
4.26%
ROE (avg)
3.86%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
26
Industry P/E
30
Price to Book Value
2.17
EV to EBIT
30.37
EV to EBITDA
7.67
EV to Capital Employed
1.68
EV to Sales
0.54
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
4.25%
ROE (Latest)
6.12%
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Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
No Trend
OBV
No Trend
No Trend
Technical Movement
18What is working for the Company
PAT(9M)
At Rs 165.90 cr has Grown at 1,978.81%
ROCE(HY)
Highest at 8.72%
DEBT-EQUITY RATIO(HY)
Lowest at 1.14 times
NET SALES(Q)
Highest at Rs 2,715.81 cr
PBDIT(Q)
Highest at Rs 205.56 cr.
OPERATING PROFIT TO NET SALES(Q)
Highest at 7.57%
-9What is not working for the Company
PBT LESS OI(Q)
At Rs 17.93 cr has Fallen at -59.3% (vs previous 4Q average
PAT(Q)
At Rs 17.11 cr has Fallen at -42.7% (vs previous 4Q average
INTEREST(Q)
Highest at Rs 41.66 cr
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Here's what is working for TVS Supply
Net Sales - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 2,715.81 cr and Grown
each quarter in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very positive
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Operating Profit (PBDIT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 205.56 cr. and Grown
each quarter in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is quite positive
Operating Profit (Rs Cr)
Debt-Equity Ratio - Half Yearly
Lowest at 1.14 times and Fallen
each half year in the last five half yearly periodsMOJO Watch
The company has been reducing its borrowing as compared to equity capital
Debt-Equity Ratio
Operating Profit Margin - Quarterly
Highest at 7.57%
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Company's efficiency has improved
Operating Profit to Sales
Here's what is not working for TVS Supply
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
At Rs 17.93 cr has Fallen at -59.3% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average PBT of the previous four quarters of Rs 44.03 CrMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is very negative
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
At Rs 17.11 cr has Fallen at -42.7% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average PAT of the previous four quarters of Rs 29.85 CrMOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is very negative
PAT (Rs Cr)
Interest - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 41.66 cr
in the last five quarters and Increased by 24.73 % (QoQ)MOJO Watch
Rising interest cost signifies increased borrowings
Interest Paid (Rs cr)






