Recent Price Movement and Market Context
On 24 Feb 2026, AGI Greenpac Ltd’s share price fell by 1.66% during the trading day, underperforming its sector by 0.72%. The stock reached an intraday low of Rs.554, which represents its lowest level in the past year. This decline comes amid a broader market environment where the Sensex also experienced a negative session, dropping 513.53 points or 0.91% to close at 82,539.01. Despite this, the Sensex remains within 4.39% of its 52-week high of 86,159.02, indicating a relatively resilient benchmark compared to AGI Greenpac’s performance.
AGI Greenpac’s current trading levels are below all key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, signalling sustained downward momentum. This technical positioning reflects the stock’s ongoing challenges in regaining investor confidence.
Financial Performance and Valuation Metrics
Over the past year, AGI Greenpac Ltd has delivered a total return of -23.20%, significantly lagging behind the Sensex’s positive return of 10.83% and the broader BSE500 index’s 13.53% gain. This underperformance is mirrored in the company’s recent quarterly results, which showed a decline in profit before tax (PBT) less other income to Rs.95.94 crores, down 8.70% compared to previous quarters. Earnings per share (EPS) also hit a low of Rs.11.04 in the latest quarter, reflecting subdued profitability.
Cash and cash equivalents for the half-year period stood at Rs.15.41 crores, marking the lowest level recorded in recent times. Despite these figures, the company maintains a relatively low average debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 times, indicating a conservative capital structure with limited leverage risk.
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Sector Position and Market Capitalisation
With a market capitalisation of Rs.3,668 crores, AGI Greenpac Ltd ranks as the second largest company in the packaging sector, trailing only Garware Hi Tech. The company accounts for 14.61% of the sector’s total market value and contributes 8.85% to the industry’s annual sales, which total Rs.2,627.76 crores. This sizeable presence underscores its importance within the packaging industry despite recent share price pressures.
Growth and Profitability Trends
AGI Greenpac has demonstrated healthy long-term growth, with operating profit expanding at an annualised rate of 30.82%. The company’s return on capital employed (ROCE) stands at a robust 16.7%, reflecting efficient utilisation of capital resources. Furthermore, the enterprise value to capital employed ratio is an attractive 1.5, suggesting the stock is trading at a discount relative to its peers’ historical valuations.
Profit growth over the past year has been positive, with a 14.7% increase despite the stock’s negative price performance. This divergence is reflected in the company’s price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio of 0.8, indicating that earnings growth has outpaced the decline in share price.
Shareholding and Ratings Update
The majority shareholding remains with the company’s promoters, maintaining a stable ownership structure. On 23 Oct 2025, the company’s Mojo Grade was downgraded from Hold to Sell, with a current Mojo Score of 44.0. The market cap grade is rated at 3, reflecting a mid-tier valuation within the broader market context.
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Comparative Performance and Market Dynamics
AGI Greenpac’s underperformance relative to the broader market is notable. While the BSE500 index has generated returns of 13.53% over the last year, the stock has declined by 23.20%. This gap highlights the challenges faced by the company in aligning with sector and market trends. The packaging sector itself has seen mixed performance, with AGI Greenpac’s stock price trajectory diverging from the sector’s overall movement.
Summary of Key Financial Indicators
To summarise, the company’s key financial metrics include:
- New 52-week low price: Rs.554
- Market capitalisation: Rs.3,668 crores
- Operating profit growth rate: 30.82% annually
- Return on capital employed (ROCE): 16.7%
- Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.39 times
- Profit before tax less other income (latest quarter): Rs.95.94 crores (-8.70%)
- Earnings per share (latest quarter): Rs.11.04
- Cash and cash equivalents (half-year): Rs.15.41 crores
- Mojo Score: 44.0 (Sell), downgraded from Hold on 23 Oct 2025
These figures provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current financial standing and market valuation.
Market Sentiment and Technical Indicators
The stock’s consistent decline over the past ten trading days, coupled with its position below all major moving averages, indicates a cautious market sentiment. The intraday low of Rs.554 represents a critical support level that the stock has breached, signalling a period of consolidation or further price adjustment. Meanwhile, the broader market’s mixed signals, with the Sensex trading below its 50-day moving average but above its 200-day moving average, suggest a nuanced environment for equities.
Conclusion
AGI Greenpac Ltd’s fall to a 52-week low of Rs.554 reflects a combination of subdued quarterly earnings, reduced cash reserves, and sustained price weakness over recent sessions. While the company maintains solid fundamentals such as low leverage, healthy operating profit growth, and a strong ROCE, the stock’s valuation and market performance have been impacted by recent financial results and broader market dynamics. This comprehensive analysis underscores the current state of the stock without projecting future movements.
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