Why is Subex Ltd ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with a -167.83% CAGR growth in Operating Profits over the last 5 years
- Company's ability to service its debt is weak with a poor EBIT to Interest (avg) ratio of 0.38
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity (avg) of 1.65% signifying low profitability per unit of shareholders funds
2
Risky - Negative EBITDA
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -51.38%, its profits have risen by 79.2%
3
Despite the size of the company, domestic mutual funds hold only 0% of the company
- Domestic mutual funds have capability to do in-depth on-the-ground research on companies- their small stake may signify either they are not comfortable at the price or the business
4
Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years
- Along with generating -51.38% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed BSE500 in each of the last 3 annual periods
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Software Products)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Subex for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Subex
-51.26%
-1.08
47.61%
Sensex
3.75%
0.32
11.86%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
-6.13%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-167.83%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
0.38
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
Negative Net Debt
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
-0.30
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
0.68
Tax Ratio
100.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
0.79%
ROCE (avg)
-2.44%
ROE (avg)
1.65%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
NA (Loss Making)
Industry P/E
28
Price to Book Value
2.09
EV to EBIT
-41.68
EV to EBITDA
-576.08
EV to Capital Employed
2.55
EV to Sales
2.07
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
-6.12%
ROE (Latest)
-1.61%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Mildly Bullish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Mildly Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Mildly Bullish
Bearish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bearish
OBV
No Trend
Mildly Bullish
Technical Movement
16What is working for the Company
PBT LESS OI(Q)
At Rs 2.70 cr has Grown at 149.5% (vs previous 4Q average
PAT(Q)
At Rs 2.86 cr has Grown at 237.9% (vs previous 4Q average
CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS(HY)
Highest at Rs 124.66 cr
PBDIT(Q)
Highest at Rs 6.28 cr.
OPERATING PROFIT TO NET SALES(Q)
Highest at 9.11%
-2What is not working for the Company
NON-OPERATING INCOME(Q)
is 36.02 % of Profit Before Tax (PBT
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Here's what is working for Subex
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
At Rs 2.70 cr has Grown at 149.5% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average PBT of the previous four quarters of Rs -5.45 CrMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is very positive
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
At Rs 2.86 cr has Grown at 237.9% (vs previous 4Q average)
over average PAT of the previous four quarters of Rs -2.07 CrMOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is very positive
PAT (Rs Cr)
Operating Profit (PBDIT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 6.28 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is positive
Operating Profit (Rs Cr)
Operating Profit Margin - Quarterly
Highest at 9.11%
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Company's efficiency has improved
Operating Profit to Sales
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 2.70 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is positive
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Cash and Cash Equivalents - Half Yearly
Highest at Rs 124.66 cr
in the last six half yearly periodsMOJO Watch
Short Term liquidity is improving
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Here's what is not working for Subex
Non Operating Income - Quarterly
is 36.02 % of Profit Before Tax (PBT)
MOJO Watch
The company's income from non business activities is high; which is not a sustainable business model
Non Operating Income to PBT






